Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 3, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol2 - 0Torque
FT(HT: 0-0)
Catarozzi (44'), Salomon (90+4'), Palacios (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo City Torque.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 1-2 America Mineiro
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Torque 3-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
47.9% ( -0.42) | 27.21% ( 0.07) | 24.88% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
