Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.