Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Palermo
Montevideo Wanderers

La Luz
2 - 3
Wanderers

Royon (33' pen., 34' pen.), Hernandez (45+3', 45+2')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Carrera (55' og., 56' og.), Milan (70', 79'), Albarracin Basil (90+4'), Albarracin (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

La Luz

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, July 1 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 4-0 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
La LuzDrawMontevideo Wanderers
36.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)27.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)36.31% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.55% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.052 -0.05)56.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)77.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)29.59% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)65.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    La Luz 36.25%
    Montevideo Wanderers 36.31%
    Draw 27.42%
La LuzDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.31%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 1
La Luz
1-3
Wanderers
Schiappacasse (79')
Martin Techera Gonzalez (2'), Hernandez (14'), Pais (89')