Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Defensor

River Plate
1 - 1
Defensor

Rocha (75' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcia (7')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-3 River Plate
Sunday, June 18 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Wanderers
Sunday, June 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
24.77%28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)47.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 43.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.31%61.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.49%81.51% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71%41.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19%77.81% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 24.77%
    Defensor Sporting 47.23%
    Draw 27.99%
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 14.49%
0-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-3 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 47.23%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
River Plate
0-4
Defensor
Valiente (1', 36'), Agazzi (17'), Balboa (79')
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-1
Defensor
Balboa (41')
Jul 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 6
River Plate
1-1
Defensor
Borbas (83')
Alfonso (23'), Diaz (24'), Montiel (81'), Urreta (89')
Montiel (85')
Balboa (57')
Rocha (31'), Ferrari (43'), Camargo (54'), Sant'Anna (76'), Bernal (81')
Apr 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 7
Defensor
3-2
River Plate
Sant'Anna (7'), Mendez (43')
Rocha (29'), de los Santos (85'), Barrios (90+5')
Rocha (77')
Borbas (69' pen.)
Salaberry (22')
Feb 1, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Defensor
0-2
River Plate
Rojo (42'), Cardacio (45+1'), Rodriguez (78')
Rodriguez (43'), Ospitaleche (49'), Piriz (61'), Arezo (67'), Viera (74'), Galletto Lopez (78')