Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici

Plaza Colonia
1 - 0
Danubio

Villalba (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sosa (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plaza Colonia

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawDanubio
35.42% (0.48 0.48)28.02% (0.163 0.16)36.56% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (-0.576 -0.58)58.34% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05% (-0.453 -0.45)78.96% (0.458 0.46)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.019999999999996 0.02)67.63% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)30.56% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.809 -0.81)66.79% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 35.41%
    Danubio 36.56%
    Draw 28.02%
Plaza ColoniaDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.56%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
Danubio
5-0
Plaza Colonia
Cruz (16'), Fernandez (47', 54', 59'), Ponte (90+4')
Sep 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Danubio
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Navarro (26')
Mederos (22')
Jul 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Danubio
2-0
Plaza Colonia
Vicente (41', 74')
Hernandez (30'), Rodriguez (33'), Rea (66'), Vicente (71')

Fernandez (66'), Quintana (90+1')
Apr 9, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Plaza Colonia
1-1
Danubio
Rodriguez (33')
Bahia (72'), Perez (90+5')
May (52')
Rea (42'), Gonzalez (85')
Feb 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Plaza Colonia
3-0
Danubio
Dibble (1'), Risso (4'), Redin (61')
Dibble (12')

Gonzalez (72'), Carrera (87')