Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi

Plaza Colonia
1 - 3
Maldonado

Ebere (2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Spinelli (5', 35', 51')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Maldonado
Monday, July 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawDeportivo Maldonado
44.56% (0.465 0.47)26.26% (-0.167 -0.17)29.18% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.347 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (0.528 0.53)53.07% (-0.52399999999999 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.446 0.45)74.66% (-0.444 -0.44)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.45700000000001 0.46)23.71% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.654 0.65)57.84% (-0.651 -0.65)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (0.055999999999997 0.06)32.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.061 0.06)69.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 44.56%
    Deportivo Maldonado 29.18%
    Draw 26.26%
Plaza ColoniaDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2023 10pm
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Plaza Colonia
0-1
Maldonado
Cantera (53' pen.)
Apr 17, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 9
Maldonado
3-1
Plaza Colonia
Romero (68'), Piriz (78'), Borges (85')
Anselmo (8'), Piriz (81'), Borges (82')
Barrandeguy (29' pen.)
Dibble (36'), Fernandez (44'), Ayala (88'), Perez (89')
Dibble (39')
Nov 9, 2021 12am
Gameweek 11
Plaza Colonia
1-0
Maldonado
Guirin (90+3')
Lopez (83')
Darias (81')
Jul 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Maldonado
0-1
Plaza Colonia
Camargo (77')