Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
Racing1 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Nacional |
31.03% ( -0) | 27.4% | 41.57% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
