Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.