Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 3
Danubio

Martinez (39', 40')
Martinez (37'), Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Bocanegra (45'), Baez (83'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88'), Polenta (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Romero (7', 8'), Fernandez (64', 64'), Millan (90+5')
Etchebarne (13'), Etchebarne (15'), Lewis (71'), Lewis (72'), Ferreira (79'), Ferreira (81'), Millan (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
51.94% (0.473 0.47)26.08% (-0.192 -0.19)21.98% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (0.417 0.42)57.35% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (0.331 0.33)78.17% (-0.333 -0.33)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.381 0.38)22.17% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.57 0.57)55.57% (-0.573 -0.57)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)78% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 51.94%
    Danubio 21.98%
    Draw 26.08%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.98%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Danubio
0-0
Nacional
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')