MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 05:24:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 1
Cerro

Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Nacional
Friday, October 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
60.49% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22) 24.26% (0.107 0.11) 15.25% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 39.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (-0.185 -0.19)59.07% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (-0.143 -0.14)79.52% (0.143 0.14)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.152 -0.15)19.41% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-0.251 -0.25)51.23% (0.252 0.25)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.93% (0.032 0.03)85.07% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.48%
    Cerro 15.25%
    Draw 24.25%
NacionalDrawCerro
1-0 @ 16.1% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
2-0 @ 13.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.25%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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