Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Leandro Lozano
10'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
17'
-
Federico Martinez
33'
-
Emmanuel Gigliotti
70'
-
Lucas Rodriguez
12'
-
Lucas Rodriguez
25'
-
Jairo Coronel
31'
-
Cristhian Tizon
43'
-
Mathias Abero
51'
-
Ramiro Fernandez
67'
Nacional vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Nacional
60.49%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
24.26%
▲
(+0.11)
Cerro
15.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
39.81%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.93%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
59.07%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
20.48%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
79.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
8.61%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
91.39%
▲
(+0.09)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
80.59%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
19.41%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
48.77%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
51.23%
▲
(+0.26)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5
49.39%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
50.61%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
14.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
85.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Nacional
60.48%
Draw
24.25%
Cerro
15.25%
Nacional
1-0
@
16.1%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 13.19% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 60.48%
2-0 @ 13.19% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 60.48%
Draw
1-1
@
10.96%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.25%
0-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.25%
Cerro
0-1
@
6.69%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.25%
1-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.25%
Head to Head
-
Paulo Vinicius
16'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
25'
-
Pablo Garcia
50'
-
Claudio Yacob
54'
-
Thiago Vecino
66'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
77'
-
Santiago Cartagena Albistur
90'+2'
-
Santiago Cartagena
90'+2'
-
Maicol Cabrera
36'
-
Mario Valentin Garcia Fernandez
42'
-
Mario Garcia
42'
-
Jorge Agustin Hernandez Arrua
50'
-
Agustin Hernandez
50'
-
Cristian Cruz
61'
-
Bryan Bentaberry
66'