Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Cerro
1 - 1
Penarol

Nandin (13')
Cabrera (49'), Garcia (57'), Evar Gomez Silveira (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (52')
Cristoforo (27'), Hernandez (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Monday, July 24 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Defensor
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawPenarol
21.28% (0.467 0.47)27.83% (0.427 0.43)50.88% (-0.89 -0.89)
Both teams to score 40.36% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.37% (-0.905 -0.91)63.63% (0.909 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.653 -0.65)82.92% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.9% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.36% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)81.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (-0.822 -0.82)25.39% (0.825 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.142 -1.14)60.19% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 21.28%
    Penarol 50.88%
    Draw 27.83%
CerroDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.293 0.29)
2-1 @ 4.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.28%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 15.97% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 50.88%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
2-0
Cerro
Arezo (19'), Sanchez (56' pen.)
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')
Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')
Feb 15, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
2-1
Cerro
Xisco (10'), Trindade (90')
Gonzalez (22'), Abascal (51'), Xisco (61')
Cardozo (71')
Paiva (29')
Moreira (51'), Brasil (74')
Nov 6, 2019 7pm
Cerro
1-3
Penarol
Roldan (83')
Diaz (16'), Izquierdo (87')
Xisco (23', 60'), Rebollo (80')
Xisco (16'), Trindade (45')
Apr 20, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 10
Penarol
1-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Lema (48'), Viatri (53'), Fernandez (53'), Hernandez (63')
Tancredi (71')
Moreira (56'), Puente (87')
Moreira (62')