Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Jul 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 1
Defensor

Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 2-1 Danubio
Saturday, July 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Defensor Sporting
34.98% ( -0.14)	29.67% ( 0.14)	35.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.04% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.97% (

-0.45)

64.03% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.79% (

-0.32)

83.21% (

0.32)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

-0.33)

34.52% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76% (

-0.36)

71.24% (

0.36)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.23)

34.27% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.25)

70.97% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Penarol 34.98%

Defensor Sporting 35.35%

Draw 29.66%

Penarol	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.98%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.35%