Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.