Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Boston River
42.82% ( -0)	26.87% ( 0.06)	30.3% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.99% (

-0.27)

55.01% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-0.23)

76.28% (

0.23)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.12)

25.44% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.17)

60.26% (

0.17)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

-0.19)

33.07% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34% (

-0.21)

69.66% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 42.82%

Boston River 30.3%

Draw 26.87%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.3%