Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.