Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Boston River
1 - 2
La Luz

Gutierrez (59')
Rodriguez (24'), Corbo (35'), Beltran (41'), Gutierrez (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gonzalez (4', 5'), Quintana (34' pen.)
Gonzalez (17'), Castillo (58'), Correa (60'), Viera (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Boston River
Sunday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-2 Cerro
Saturday, November 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
39.33% (-0.119 -0.12)28.72% (0.179 0.18)31.94% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.19% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.77% (-0.623 -0.62)61.22% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.84% (-0.467 -0.47)81.16% (0.465 0.47)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.381 -0.38)30.31% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-0.456 -0.46)66.49% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.375 -0.38)35.15% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.395 -0.4)71.9% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 39.32%
    La Luz 31.94%
    Draw 28.71%
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Boston River
4-0
La Luz
Olivera (9', 27'), Adrian Valdez (68'), Machado (90')
Rodriguez (87')

Ancheta (60'), de los Santos (80')
Apr 11, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 10
La Luz
2-1
Boston River
Schiappacasse (9'), Hernandez (87' pen.)
Olivera (29')