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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
4 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Correa (5'), Villar (30'), Nunez (37'), Gianoli (74')
Lima (42'), Brasil (53'), Nunez (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Olivera (21')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, November 15 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 Liverpool
Tuesday, November 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
38.46% (-0.122 -0.12) 27.76% (0.148 0.15) 33.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (-0.558 -0.56)57.5% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.446 -0.45)78.29% (0.447 0.45)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.342 -0.34)28.99% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (-0.424 -0.42)64.89% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.303 -0.3)31.92% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.346 -0.35)68.37% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 38.45%
    Plaza Colonia 33.77%
    Draw 27.75%
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Cerro Largo vs Plaza Colonia

Cerro Largo
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Plaza Colonia
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Plaza Colonia
3-3
Cerro Largo
Brun (5'), Olivera (40' pen.), Ebere (86')
Mathias Bogado (52'), Brun (57'), Goyeni (78')
Ferrares (71', 90+1'), Villar (90')
Correa (29'), Ferrares (47'), Goyeni (77'), Villar (89')
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Villalba (19'), Ebere (87')
Aug 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Quintana (33' pen., 58')
Guirin (68'), Quintana (75'), Kidd (75'), Barrandeguy (82'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (87')

Garcia (23'), Correa (32'), (67')
Jun 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Villar (90+2')
Onetto (36'), Bentaberry (50')

Bahia (50'), Vitao (76')
Feb 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
0-5
Plaza Colonia

Martinez (79')
Rodriguez (40'), Mereles (48'), Bahia (69'), Dibble (85', 88')
Bahia (43'), Calleros (73'), Ayala (79')
rhs 2.0
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