MX23RW : Sunday, March 3 19:13:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fenix
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Capurro
Penarol
Fenix
0 - 1
Penarol

Carlos (75'), Alles (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arezo (52')
Betancor (23'), Mendez (23'), Coelho (48'), Arezo (60')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Fenix
Saturday, November 25 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, November 25 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
FenixDrawPenarol
18.15% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.87% (0.315 0.31) 55.98% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 40.96% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.48% (-1.097 -1.1)60.52% (1.093 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.837 -0.84)80.63% (0.833 0.83)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.36% (-0.735 -0.73)47.64% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.554 -0.55)82.96% (0.55 0.55)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (-0.554 -0.55)21.78% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (-0.852 -0.85)54.98% (0.848 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Fenix 18.15%
    Penarol 55.97%
    Draw 25.85%
FenixDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.15%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.411 0.41)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 15.81% (0.38 0.38)
0-2 @ 12.05% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 55.97%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Penarol
2-0
Fenix
Sanchez (39'), Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Aug 2, 2022 12am
Gameweek 1
Penarol
0-1
Fenix
Vega (90+4' pen.)
Jul 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
0-0
Fenix
Musto (55'), Ramos (60'), Viatri (72'), Aguirregaray (86'), Ceppelini (90+2')
Alfaro (5'), Barboza (21'), Amado (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Fenix
1-0
Penarol
Vega (83')
Nunez (73'), Pallas (90+1')

Gargano (73'), Ramos (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 12am
Gameweek 2
Penarol
0-0
Fenix
Ceppelini (74'), Gargano (83')
Rodriguez (6'), Alfaro (26')
rhs 2.0
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