Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Penarol

Danubio
2 - 1
Penarol

Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Danubio
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, November 15 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawPenarol
25.25% (-0.436 -0.44)28.69% (0.048000000000002 0.05)46.06% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 41.96% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42% (-0.379 -0.38)63.58% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12% (-0.272 -0.27)82.88% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.616 -0.62)41.93% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.541 -0.54)78.37% (0.54300000000001 0.54)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.022999999999996 0.02)27.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.026000000000003 0.03)63.32% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 25.25%
    Penarol 46.06%
    Draw 28.68%
DanubioDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 25.25%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 14.91% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 46.06%

Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Monzon (59'), Carrera (69'), Siles (72'), Mendez (77'), Luis Rodriguez (80')
Britos (64')