Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 14, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Maldonado
0 - 1
Penarol


Cayetano (53'), Cayetano (53'), Tealde (90+4'), Alfaro (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+5'), Alfaro (90+5'), Darias (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arezo (30', 30')
Hernandez (16'), Hernandez (17'), Olivera (36'), Olivera (37'), Tealde (90+5'), Tealde (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Maldonado
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Defensor
Saturday, October 7 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawPenarol
25.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)45.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 42.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)82.46% (0.012 0.01)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.09% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)77.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.71% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.27% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 25.8%
    Penarol 45.6%
    Draw 28.59%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 14.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.6%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
2-1
Maldonado
Sanchez (29'), Arezo (71')
Cantera (25')
Aug 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 6
Maldonado
1-1
Penarol
Viatri (70' og.)
Rodriguez (20'), Romero (36'), Piriz (38'), Darias (57'), Cayetano (61'), Reyes (80'), Ferreira (90+5')
Rak (47')
Menosse (32'), Gargano (75')
Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 2
Maldonado
1-3
Penarol
Arias (76' og.)
Darias (14'), Gonzalez (54'), Cotugno (87'), Lima (89')
Bentancourt (60'), Laquintana (74'), Ceppelini (88' pen.)
Musto (44'), Elizalde (45'), Dawson (90+3'), Menosse (90+3')
Elizalde (80')
Mar 19, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
1-1
Maldonado
Ramos (28')
Carrizo (67'), Bentancourt (76'), Viatri (80')
Borges (68')
Piriz (22'), Ferreira (41'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Cotugno (61')
Ferreira (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Maldonado
1-0
Penarol
Ramos (26')
Lima (62'), Casas (76'), Conechny (81'), Darias (82'), Tealde (86'), Ramos (88')

Alvarez (64'), Gargano (65'), Bentancourt (82'), Gaitan (90+3')