MX23RW : Friday, March 1 17:47:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
1 - 1
Racing
Arezo (71')
Arezo (53'), Hernandez (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Veron (75')
Magallanes (11'), Lemos (53'), Mejia (72'), Urreta (76')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Racing
Tuesday, November 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
53.38% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.08% (0.251 0.25) 20.54% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 43.75% (-0.804 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.973 -0.97)58.72% (0.975 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.764 -0.76)79.25% (0.765 0.77)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.456 -0.46)22.13% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (-0.695 -0.7)55.5% (0.696 0.7)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19% (-0.69900000000001 -0.7)43.81% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.583 -0.58)79.97% (0.586 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.37%
    Racing de Montevideo 20.54%
    Draw 26.07%
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head
May 9, 2023 12am
Oct 17, 2019 8pm
Racing
3-3
Penarol
Sosa (9', 53'), Araujo (74')
Nicolini (3'), Irazun (90')
Ferreyra (29')
Viatri (29' pen.), De los Santos (52', 76')
Rojas (38'), Canobbio (64'), Busquets (87')
Mar 23, 2019 10pm
Penarol
2-2
Racing
Acevedo (4'), Rodriguez (90')
Hernandez (76'), Pereira (81'), Rodriguez (81')
Araujo (52'), Sosa (55')
Nicolini (15'), Rodriguez (65'), Quinones (74')
Jul 21, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Fernandez (1')
Matheu (66')
Araujo (19' pen.)
Lacoste (37'), Cayetano (45'), Bonifazi (49')
Bonifazi (51')
Feb 4, 2018 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Racing
0-2
Penarol

Romero (24')
Nicolini (32')
Martinez (30'), Hernandez (51')
Larry Estoyanoff Poggio (24')
rhs 2.0
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