Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.