Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
0 - 2
Corinthians

Ronier Vieira Pires (77'), Ronier (77')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Vera (11', 11'), Romero (21', 21')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Internacional
Saturday, December 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Corinthians
43.16% ( 0.37)	26.84% ( -0.11)	30% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

0.34)

55% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.73% (

0.28)

76.27% (

-0.28)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

0.34)

25.26% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

0.48)

60.02% (

-0.48)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72% (

-0.01)

33.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

-0.01)

69.9% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 43.15%

Corinthians 30%

Draw 26.84%

Coritiba	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30%