Brasileiro | Gameweek 35

Nov 25, 2023 at 12am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
1 - 5
Bahia

FT(HT: 0-3)

Rezende (4'), Oliveira Souza (16'), Thaciano (29' pen., 85' pen.), Ademir (75')
Hugo (45+2'), Thaciano (50'), Gilberto (64')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Bahia
52.71% ( -0.35)	24.48% ( -0.13)	22.81% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42% (

1.01)

50.57% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.88)

72.49% (

-0.88)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

0.25)

19.15% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

0.41)

50.8% (

-0.41)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13% (

1.03)

36.87% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

1.01)

73.65% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 52.7%

Bahia 22.81%

Draw 24.48%

Corinthians	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.7%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.81%