Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Nov 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Athletico Paranaense

Bahia
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Stum (73' pen.)
Duarte (65'), Stum (77'), Kanu (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Canobbio (87')
Moura (29'), Caca (46'), Canobbio (71'), Fernandinho (73')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
48.64% (-0.215 -0.21)26.71% (0.089000000000002 0.09)24.65% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56% (-0.222 -0.22)57.44% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (-0.177 -0.18)78.25% (0.179 0.18)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.194 -0.19)23.69% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (-0.282 -0.28)57.8% (0.284 0.28)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)75.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.64%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.65%
    Draw 26.7%
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 15
Athletico PR
2-0
Bahia
Roque (24'), Erick (35')
Ivaldo (66'), Heleno (84')

Stum (63')
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Bahia
Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Davo (5')
Xavier (53')
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-1
Athletico PR
De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
Terans (40')
Erick (82')
Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')