Brasileiro | Gameweek 33

Nov 8, 2023 at 11pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Willian (57')
Erick (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guilherme (54')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 5 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, November 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fortaleza
55.45% ( -0.02)	24.52% ( -0.05)	20.03% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

0.27)

53.72% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

0.22)

75.21% (

-0.22)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

0.1)

19.29% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97% (

0.16)

51.03% (

-0.15)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.52% (

0.23)

41.48% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.02% (

0.2)

77.98% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 55.44%

Fortaleza 20.03%

Draw 24.52%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.44%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.03%