Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Athletico Paranaense

Gremio
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
53.71% (0.154 0.15)24.81% (-0.182 -0.18)21.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.548 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.705 0.7)53.24% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.596 0.6)74.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.339 0.34)19.78% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16% (0.547 0.55)51.84% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (0.428 0.43)39.68% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.392 0.39)76.36% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.71%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.47%
    Draw 24.81%
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.71%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.47%

How you voted: Gremio vs Athletico PR

Gremio
88.6%
Draw
11.4%
Athletico Paranaense
0.0%
35
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Athletico PR
Thaciano (77')
Mendes (43'), Ferreira (72'), Silva (75')

Nikao (61')
Heleno (90+3')
Oct 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Eduardo (44')
Nikao (53'), Christian (65'), Vinicius (90+1')
Heleno (56' og.), Ferreira (88')
Everton (29')
rhs 2.0


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