Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Gremio
Oct 18, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
Athletico PR
  • Lucas Besozzi 7' goal
  • Luis Suarez 44' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 58' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 25'
  • goal Bruno Zapelli 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 53'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 73'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 85'
  • goal Kaique Rocha 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 90'+5'

Gremio vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 8.00pm
Internacional 3 - 2 Gremio
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Luis Suarez

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 10.30pm
Athletico PR 1 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vitor Roque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 53.71% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 24.81% ▼ (-0.19)
Athletico Paranaense 21.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.38% ▲ (+0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.76% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 2.5 53.24% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 25.2% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 74.8% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 4.5 11.49% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 4.5 88.51% ▼ (-0.38)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 80.22% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 0.5 19.78% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 48.16% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 1.5 51.84% ▼ (-0.55)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 23.64% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Gremio 53.71%
Draw 24.81%
Athletico Paranaense 21.47%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.72% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 53.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.81%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.47%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
Gremio
  • Vitor Roque 34' goal
  • goal Cuiabano 31'
  • goal Bruno Uvini 49'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Gremio
  • Pedro Rocha 31' goal
  • Pedro Rocha 45'+1' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 55' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 61' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 67' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago 59'
  • yellowcard Ruan 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 66'
  • goal Vanderson 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Sarara 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Gremio
Jun 13, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Athletico PR
  • Matheus Henrique 34' yellowcard
  • Thiago 60' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 65' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Maicon Souza 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian 11'
  • goal Matheus Babi 44'
  • yellowcard Matheus Babi 50'
  • yellowcard Richard 87'
  • yellowcard Khellven 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Gremio
Feb 21, 2021 9.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Athletico PR
  • Darlan Mendes 43' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 75' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 77' goal
  • yellowcard Nikao 61'
  • redcard Thiago Heleno 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Athletico PR
Oct 25, 2020 9.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Gremio
  • Carlos Eduardo 44' goal
  • Nikao 53' yellowcard
  • Christian 65' yellowcard
  • Abner Vinicius 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 29'
  • goal Thiago Heleno 56' (OG)
  • goal Ferreira 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Athletico PR
Nov 28, 2019 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães (Curitiba, Paraná)
Gremio
  • Wellington Martins 7' yellowcard
  • Marcio Azevedo 33' goal
  • Nikao 64' goal
  • Nikao 66' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Camacho 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Cortez 51'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 61'
  • yellowcard Henrique Matheus 62'
  • redcard Diego Tardelli 67'
  • yellowcard Michel 74'

Form Data

Internacional 3 - 2 Gremio
Fortaleza 1 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 0 Palmeiras
Corinthians 4 - 4 Gremio
Bragantino 2 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 2 - 0 Cuiaba
Athletico PR 1 - 1 Bragantino
Coritiba 2 - 0 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Internacional
Flamengo 0 - 3 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Athletico PR 2 - 2 Fluminense