Brasileiro | Gameweek 23

Sep 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
0 - 3
Athletico PR

Wesley (30'), Sampaoli (31'), Ribeiro (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Caca (27'), Santana (84'), Bueno (90+7' pen.)
Moura (58'), Santana (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 3 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
64.98% ( 0.23)	21.03% ( 0.07)	13.99% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 45.67% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.87)

49.44% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.78)

71.48% (

0.78)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

-0.21)

14.47% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

-0.4)

42.43% (

0.4)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.39% (

-0.97)

46.6% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.81% (

-0.75)

82.18% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 64.96%

Athletico Paranaense 13.99%

Draw 21.03%

Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.96%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.99%