Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.