Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Bolivar

Fernandinho (31' pen.), Roque (67')
Fernandinho (45+2')
FT
(aet)

Bejarano (40'), da Costa (45+2'), Fernandez (70'), Bentaberry (77')
Bolivar win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Athletico PR
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bolivar

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (5.18%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBolivar
60.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.42%17.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)14.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23%38.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.51% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.94%
    Bolivar 17.63%
    Draw 21.42%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.18%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.63%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bolivar

Athletico Paranaense
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Bolivar
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bolivar
3-1
Athletico PR
Fernandez (13', 76'), Bejarano (27')
Fernandez (76'), Villamil (90+5')
Erick (9')
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