Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Aug 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Leonardo (90+6' pen.)
Lima (74'), Paulo (77'), Mendoza (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pablo (30')
Roque (89'), Bueno (90+10')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
51.23% ( 2.15)	26.8% ( -1.23)	21.97% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 43.64% (

2.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.19% (

3.2)

59.81% (

-3.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.91% (

2.38)

80.09% (

-2.38)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

2.43)

23.53% (

-2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

3.4)

57.58% (

-3.4)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.06% (

0.92)

42.94% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.77% (

0.77)

79.23% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Santos 51.22%

Athletico Paranaense 21.97%

Draw 26.79%

Santos	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.74) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.48) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.84) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.97%