Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Sep 3, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 2
Flamengo

Victor (19')
Cuesta (50'), Tche (85'), Gabriel (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Freitas (2' og.), Henrique (73')
Lucas (43'), Henrique (45'), Bruno (90+5')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, August 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Flamengo
43.57% ( 0.68)	26.21% ( 0.31)	30.22% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56% (

-1.67)

52.44% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89% (

-1.45)

74.11% (

1.45)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

-0.4)

23.92% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

-0.57)

58.13% (

0.57)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

-1.55)

31.8% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

-1.81)

68.23% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 43.56%

Flamengo 30.22%

Draw 26.2%

Botafogo	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.22%