Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Aug 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena de Baixada
Cuiaba

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Cuiaba

Canobbio (45', 45'), Zapelli (82', 82')
Fernandinho (34'), Fernandinho (34'), Carvalho (35'), Carvalho (35'), Caca (40'), Caca (40'), Erick (45+2'), Erick (45+2'), Canobbio (67'), Canobbio (67'), Heleno (90+6'), Heleno (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rikelme (36'), Rikelme (36'), Deyverson (40'), Deyverson (40'), Empereur (83'), Empereur (83')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Flamengo
Monday, August 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCuiaba
53.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)25.72% (-0.123 -0.12)21.19% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.51% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.15% (0.512 0.51)56.85% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (0.409 0.41)77.78% (-0.40899999999999 -0.41)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (0.22199999999999 0.22)21.48% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48% (0.342 0.34)54.52% (-0.345 -0.34)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.391 0.39)42.04% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.336 0.34)78.47% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 53.08%
    Cuiaba 21.19%
    Draw 25.72%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 13.88% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 21.19%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Cuiaba

Athletico Paranaense
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
Cuiaba
20.0%
5
Head to Head
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Roque (85')
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Dec 3, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 35
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Hernandez (38'), Canesin (80'), Terans (81'), Ivaldo (84')

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Clayson (90+5')
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Aug 15, 2021 10.15pm
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Reijers de Olivera (82')

Cittadini (22')
> Preview