Brasileiro | Gameweek 24

Sep 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Internacional

Erick (24'), Santana (90')
Bueno (31'), Pablo (45+7'), Heleno (45+10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Pena (36')
Hernandez (7'), Dias (12'), Bustos (50'), de Pena (63'), Wanderson (90+8')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Athletico PR
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Internacional

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Internacional
54.79% ( -0.21)	25.23% ( 0.01)	19.98% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.24% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.66% (

0.17)

56.34% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63% (

0.14)

77.36% (

-0.14)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.02)

20.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9% (

-0.02)

53.1% (

0.02)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

0.31)

43.04% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

0.26)

79.32% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 54.78%

Internacional 19.98%

Draw 25.22%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 14% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.98%