Brasileiro | Gameweek 23

Sep 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Bustos (59', 59'), Rene (70', 70')
Mercado (18'), Mercado (18'), Gabriel (30'), Gabriel (30'), Keiller (45+2'), Keiller (45+2'), Dias (90+7'), Lucca (90+8'), Dias (90+7'), Lucca (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Calleri (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.)
Diego (16'), Diego (16'), Maia (41'), Maia (41'), Rafinha (75'), Rafinha (75'), Calleri (90+5'), Calleri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Goias 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Internacional	Draw	Sao Paulo
45.01% ( -0.42)	26.66% ( 0.13)	28.33% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

-0.32)

55.05% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.27)

76.31% (

0.27)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

-0.34)

24.36% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

-0.49)

58.77% (

0.49)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

0.06)

34.58% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

0.06)

71.3% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Internacional 45.01%

Sao Paulo 28.33%

Draw 26.66%

Internacional	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.33%