Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.55%).