Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.27%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.25%).