Copa Libertadores
Jun 8, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas vs Nublense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aucas

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 1.00am
Aucas 1 - 2 Racing

Nublense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 25, 2023 1.30am
Nublense 1 - 1 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Aucas 52.96% (-0.48)
Draw 25.22% (+0.31)
Nublense 21.81% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.67% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.59% (-0.98)
Under 2.5 54.4% (+0.97)
Over 3.5 24.22% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 75.77% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 10.87% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 89.13% (+0.51)

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5 79.45% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 20.54% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 46.94% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 53.05% (+0.93)

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5 60% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 39.99% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 23.35% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 76.64% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Aucas 52.95%
Draw 25.21%
Nublense 21.81%
Aucas
1-0 @ 13% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 10.28% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.22% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
Nublense
0-1 @ 7.53% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
  • Patricio Rubio 79' goal
  • Andres Vilches 90'+1' goal
  • goal Romulo Otero 24'