Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio El Teniente

Audax
0 - 1
Nublense

(Nublense win 1-0 on aggregate)

Sepulveda (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oyarzo (50')
Caroca (59'), Rubio (73'), Cerezo (82'), Aranguiz (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Audax Italiano and Nublense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Audax Italiano

Last Game: Nublense 0-0 Audax
Thursday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Nublense

Last Game: Nublense 0-0 Audax
Thursday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nublense in this match.

Result
Audax Italiano	Draw	Nublense
53.63% ( 0.23)	25.72% ( -0.15)	20.65% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61% (

0.43)

57.39% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79% (

0.34)

78.21% (

-0.33)

Audax Italiano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

0.27)

21.47% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.49% (

0.41)

54.51% (

-0.41)

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.08% (

0.16)

42.93% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.77% (

0.14)

79.23% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Audax Italiano 53.63%

Nublense 20.65%

Draw 25.72%

Audax Italiano	Draw	Nublense
1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.65%