America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Sao Paulo

America Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Mastriani (61'), Varanda (90')
Martinez (19'), Azevedo (33'), Breno (66'), Maidana (79'), Juninho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pato (81')
Souza (36')
Arboleda (74')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-3 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
34.17% (0.153 0.15)26.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)39.41% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)52.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.9% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (0.106 0.11)64.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)25.95% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (-0.134 -0.13)60.96% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 34.17%
    Sao Paulo 39.4%
    Draw 26.42%
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sao Paulo
3-0
America Mineiro
Luciano (21'), Calleri (82'), Paulo (90+5')
Oct 7, 2022 12am
Gameweek 30
America Mineiro
1-2
Sao Paulo
Aug 19, 2022 1am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
America Mineiro
2-2
Sao Paulo
Paulista (44' pen.), Everaldo (65')
Everaldo (2'), Pablo Ramirez (14'), Egea (45+6'), Matheusinho (81'), Eder (81'), Avelar (90+5')
Luciano (23', 29')
Luciano (24'), Miranda (45+4'), Calleri (83')
Miranda (58')
Jul 29, 2022 12am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
America Mineiro
Luciano (35')
Gomes (43'), Neves (55'), Couto (65'), Galoppo (81'), Costa (90+3')

Almeida (37'), Pedrinho (90+7')
Jun 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
1-0
America Mineiro
Patrick (34')
Nestor (53'), Miranda (76')

Almeida (76'), (90+4')
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