Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
3 - 3
America Mineiro

Vinicios (5', 5', 45+3', 45+3'), Ortiz (57', 57')
Goncalves Martins (87'), Goncalves Martins (87')

FT
(aet)

Mastriani (45+1', 45+1', 90+10' pen., 90+10' pen.), Eder (45+5', 45+5')
Eder (40'), Eder (40'), Paulinho (66'), Paulinho (66'), Rodriguinho (69'), Rodriguinho (69'), Martinez (89'), Martinez (89')

America Mineiro win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Bragantino and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

America Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Bahia 3-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.68%).

Result
Bragantino	Draw	America Mineiro
59.26% ( 0.84)	22.29% ( 0.13)	18.45% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-2.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07% (

-1.96)

46.93% (

1.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82% (

-1.85)

69.18% (

1.86)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53% (

-0.39)

15.47% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66% (

-0.73)

44.34% (

0.73)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71% (

-2.21)

39.29% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01% (

-2.13)

75.99% (

2.13)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 59.25%

America Mineiro 18.45%

Draw 22.29%

Bragantino	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.25%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.31) Other @ 1% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.45%