Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.