Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 78.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.55%) and 1-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Tacuary
78.44% ( 1.31)	14.45% ( -0.55)	7.11% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 42.02% (

-1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

-0.3)

40.04% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

-0.31)

62.41% (

0.31)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.71% (

0.23)

8.29% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.07% (

0.56)

28.93% (

-0.56)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.82% (

-2.18)

54.18% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.61% (

-1.38)

87.38% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 78.43%

Tacuary 7.11%

Draw 14.45%

Bragantino	Draw	Tacuary
2-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 78.43%	1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.49% Total : 14.45%	0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.26% Total : 7.11%