Copa Sudamericana
Aug 24, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Jhojan Julio 2' goal
  • Renato Ibarra 25' goal
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 12'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 45'+1'
  • goal Lucas Moura 80'
  • yellowcard Luan 87'

LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for LDU Quito in this match.

Result

LDU Quito 38.36% (-0.01)
Draw 24.95% (-0.01)
Sao Paulo 36.69% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.42% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.25% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.75% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.25% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.74% (-0.01)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 76.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.44% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.44% (-0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.71% (-0.02)

Score analysis

LDU Quito 38.36%
Draw 24.94%
Sao Paulo 36.69%
LDU Quito
2-1 @ 8.48%
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
Sao Paulo
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 36.69%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 23, 2020 1.30am
4
2
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Cristian Borja 21' goal
  • Matias Zunino 33' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Esmaides Julio Palacios 36' goal
  • Jhojan Julio 36' goal
  • Lucas Piovi 37' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Esmaides Julio Palacios 45'+1' goal
  • Jhojan Julio 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Arce 76' goal
  • Billy Arce 76' goal
  • goal Brenner 60'
  • goal Brenner 60'
  • goal Santiago Trellez 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'
Copa Libertadores
Mar 12, 2020 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Reinaldo 14' goal
  • Dani Alves 15' goal
  • Reinaldo 26' yellowcard
  • Juanfran 45' yellowcard
  • Igor Gomes 61' goal
  • Pablo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Quinteros 26'
  • yellowcard Franklin Guerra 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Ayala 41'
  • redcard Junior Sornoza 67'
  • yellowcard Antonio Valencia 76'