Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Internacional (Brasil)

Bolivar
0 - 1
Internacional


Villamil (68'), Bentaberry (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (16')
Rene (30'), Mercado (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawInternacional
56.51% (0.637 0.64)22.51% (-0.24 -0.24)20.98% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (0.571 0.57)44.35% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.54900000000001 0.55)66.73% (-0.548 -0.55)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.414 0.41)15.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.767 0.77)44.39% (-0.764 -0.76)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)35.13% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)71.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 56.51%
    Internacional 20.98%
    Draw 22.5%
BolivarDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.98%

How you voted: Bolivar vs Internacional

Bolivar
77.1%
Draw
11.4%
Internacional
11.4%
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