Brasileiro | Gameweek 25

Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Luis (14'), Slimani (45+3')
Moreno (39'), Diogo (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Caca (12'), Canobbio (52'), Cuello (81'), Heleno (88')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Coritiba
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Internacional
Thursday, September 21 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
39.08% ( 0.35)	27.29% ( -0.02)	33.63% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27% (

0.03)

55.73% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

0.03)

76.87% (

-0.02)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

0.22)

27.79% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63% (

0.28)

63.38% (

-0.27)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

-0.2)

31.13% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

-0.23)

67.45% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 39.08%

Athletico Paranaense 33.63%

Draw 27.28%

Coritiba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.08%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.63%