Brasileiro | Gameweek 21

Aug 27, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Presidente Getulio Vargas

Fortaleza
3 - 1
Coritiba

Martin Lucero (42' pen., 45+4'), Marinho (60')
Marinho (65'), Escobar (71'), Titi (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kuscevic (68')
Jamerson (22'), Robson (40'), Bianqui (45+6'), Gomez (45+6'), Reynaldo (54'), Hayner (73')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: America Mineiro 1-3 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 2-3 Flamengo
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Coritiba
62.42% ( -0.03)	22.01% ( -0.09)	15.57% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.6)

50.42% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

0.53)

72.36% (

-0.53)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39% (

0.19)

15.61% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.39% (

0.35)

44.61% (

-0.35)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

0.54)

44.95% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

0.43)

80.89% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 62.42%

Coritiba 15.57%

Draw 22.01%

Fortaleza	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 62.42%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.57%