Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.