Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Club Libertad

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Libertad

Marinho (90+1')
Alexandre (63'), Marinho (90+4'), Welison (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Espinoza (44')
Viera (84'), Bareiro (90+6'), Caballero (90+2')
Piris (87'), Gimenez (90+12'), Cardozo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 0-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawClub Libertad
54.57% (0.111 0.11)24.24% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)21.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7%51.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87%73.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (0.043999999999997 0.04)18.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (0.068999999999996 0.07)50.06% (-0.061 -0.06)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)38.86% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)75.59% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 54.56%
    Club Libertad 21.2%
    Draw 24.23%
FortalezaDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 54.56%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Libertad

Fortaleza
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Club Libertad
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Libertad
0-1
Fortaleza

Barboza (67'), Campuzano (68'), Piris (82')
Welison (20')
Alexandre (32'), Britez (37'), Augusto (53'), Pochettino (75')
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