Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Club Libertad
45.24% ( -0.68)	26.67% ( 0.16)	28.08% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79% (

-0.33)

55.2% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56% (

-0.27)

76.44% (

0.27)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0.47)

24.32% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0.67)

58.7% (

0.67)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

0.23)

34.85% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.41% (

0.25)

71.59% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Tigre 45.24%

Club Libertad 28.09%

Draw 26.67%

Tigre	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.09%