Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Fortaleza
44.41% ( 0.05)	27.87% ( -0.02)	27.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.7% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.29% (

0.04)

59.7% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

0.03)

80.01% (

-0.03)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.05)

26.77% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.06)

62.05% (

-0.06)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

-0)

37.59% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.62% (

-0.01)

74.37% (

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 44.41%

Fortaleza 27.71%

Draw 27.86%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.26% 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 27.71%