Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
59.96% ( 0.8)	23.34% ( -0.41)	16.69% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27% (

0.97)

53.73% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79% (

0.81)

75.21% (

-0.8)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.64)

17.61% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

1.11)

48.19% (

-1.11)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57% (

0.08)

45.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72% (

0.06)

81.28% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 59.95%

Fortaleza 16.69%

Draw 23.34%

Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.95%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.69%